Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.002849 0.003058 0.003285 0.003552 0.003857 0.004201 0.004620
2024-10-06 0.002600 0.002893 0.003233 0.003662 0.004199 0.004867 0.005787
2024-10-13 0.002363 0.002695 0.003096 0.003632 0.004350 0.005322 0.006819
2024-10-20 0.002134 0.002472 0.002894 0.003477 0.004300 0.005484 0.007483
2024-10-27 0.002010 0.002364 0.002818 0.003470 0.004437 0.005929 0.008731
2024-11-03 0.001824 0.002159 0.002594 0.003230 0.004193 0.005730 0.008774
2024-11-10 0.001764 0.002113 0.002577 0.003276 0.004384 0.006274 0.010477
2024-11-17 0.001721 0.002085 0.002581 0.003351 0.004629 0.006972 0.012953
2024-11-24 0.001652 0.002017 0.002521 0.003321 0.004691 0.007336 0.014879
2024-12-01 0.001624 0.002003 0.002537 0.003409 0.004972 0.008233 0.019392
2024-12-08 0.001571 0.001950 0.002491 0.003392 0.005055 0.008722 0.023233
2024-12-15 0.001509 0.001881 0.002416 0.003318 0.005018 0.008912 0.026132
2024-12-22 0.001487 0.001871 0.002435 0.003414 0.005352 0.010246 0.040541
2024-12-29 0.001463 0.001858 0.002450 0.003506 0.005706 0.011887 0.075508
2025-01-05 0.001415 0.001807 0.002399 0.003474 0.005781 0.012718 0.126561
2025-01-12 0.001348 0.001723 0.002292 0.003329 0.005573 0.012444 0.144998
2025-01-19 0.001313 0.001687 0.002260 0.003322 0.005691 0.013499 0.418322
2025-01-26 0.001238 0.001587 0.002119 0.003098 0.005252 0.012114 0.217792
2025-02-02 0.001219 0.001572 0.002118 0.003141 0.005479 0.013658 9.105728
2025-02-09 0.001207 0.001566 0.002130 0.003211 0.005790 0.015938 NaN
2025-02-16 0.001178 0.001533 0.002094 0.003183 0.005836 0.016953 NaN
2025-02-23 0.001169 0.001532 0.002112 0.003265 0.006207 0.020476 NaN
2025-03-02 0.001145 0.001505 0.002084 0.003249 0.006293 0.022300 NaN